Will The SEC Approve A Bitcoin Futures ETF In 2021? Here Are The Implications

Rumors are flying. The SEC might approve a Bitcoin Futures ETF earlier than the yr ends. It looks as if the US Security And Exchange Commission is not going to give the go-ahead to the legendary Bitcoin ETF simply but… or ever, however a brand new possibility has a number of corporations salivating. What does this imply? And why a Bitcoin Futures ETF earlier than one for the asset itself? That’s what we’re right here to discover.

Related Reading | Skybridge Capital Applies For Cryptocurrency ETF And Accumulates $100 Million For ALGO Fund

But first, why is the SEC hesitant about approving the Bitcoin ETF? Investopedia responds:

“The reason is that bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization, remains largely unregulated. Additionally, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is hesitant to allow an ETF focused on the new and largely untested cryptocurrency market to make its way to the public.”

If that’s true, what makes us assume {that a} Bitcoin Futures ETF is not solely doable, however imminent? Well, final month The SEC Chairman Gary Gensler told the Aspen Security Forum:

“I anticipate that there might be filings with regard to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) below the Investment Company Act (’40 Act). When mixed with the opposite federal securities legal guidelines, the ’40 Act offers vital investor protections.

Given these vital protections, I look ahead to the workers’s assessment of such filings, notably if these are restricted to these CME-traded Bitcoin futures.”

Is A Bitcoin Futures ETF What US Investors Want?

Since Gary Gensler despatched such a transparent sign, the financial world responded in unison. 

“At least four asset managers have filed for ETFs that invest in bitcoin futures after Securities and Exchange Commission chair Gary Gensler earlier this month indicated that he could approve such funds. But investors may not want them in lieu of physically backed bitcoin ETFs, analysts have said.”

According to Investopedia, “A bitcoin ETF mimics the price of the digital currency, allowing investors to buy into the ETF without trading bitcoin itself.” However, who’s excited about ETFs when bitcoin, the asset, is broadly obtainable? Some buyers or teams merely can’t put money into bitcoin as a result of their personal inner guidelines gained’t enable them to. They can’t buy bitcoin by way of a brokerage account. No monetary establishment backs it, so nobody protects them. And, after all, there’s the scary volatility.

Bloomberg explains how Bitcoin fixes this:

“A Bitcoin ETF could help get around those restrictions since the format is more widely accepted. “There are all sorts of custody and regulatory hurdles for big financial institutions to jump through,” mentioned Ross Mayfield, funding technique analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co. “If it were offered in an ETF, it clears a lot of that up for financial institutions.”

However, it seems that the SEC gained’t approve one any time quickly. Why would they approve a Bitcoin Futures ETF as an alternative? Bloomberg continues:

“For the SEC’s purposes, Bitcoin futures also offer an additional level of security because they are governed by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and require investors to put down cash on margin to trade, as a form of collateral.”

BTCUSD price chart for 09/27/2021 - TradingView

BTC worth chart 09/27/2021 on Coinbase | Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

Experts And Important Players Disagree

While some corporations can’t look forward to the Bitcoin Futures ETF to be obtainable, others are much less enthusiastic. One of these is Michael Sonnenshein, CEO of Grayscale Investments. His firm is one of many many who utilized for a Bitcoin ETF and are nonetheless ready for approval. In a recent CNBC interview, he mentioned:

“It would be shortsighted of the SEC to allow a futures-based product into the market before a spot product,” Sonnenshein advised CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday. “They really should be allowing both products into the market at the same time and let investors choose which way they want.” 

Related Reading | Did The SEC’s Gary Gensler Threaten Crypto And DeFi In The WaPo Interview?

Of course, he’s closely invested on this consequence. His firm’s Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is extremely profitable, but when they handle to flip it into an ETF, it’d go parabolic. However, he’s not the one one which thinks that method. In the Bloomberg article, one other knowledgeable elaborated on the Bitcoin Futures ETF ‘s limitations:

“With futures-based products, you introduced additional cost, more complexity, you have futures contracts that have to be rolled,” mentioned the ETF retailer’s Geraci. “It’s just a sub-optimal option for investors.”

In any case, the Bitcoin Futures ETF approval is simply hypothesis. Gary Gensler mentioned he regarded ahead to studying his workers’s assessment of the fillings, which is not a assure by any stretch of the creativeness.

Featured Image by Markus Winkler from Pixabay - Charts by TradingView

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